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プレストン効果

日経5/8朝刊1面「世界この先 第三部見えてきたもの いら立つ若者 民主主義も再生の時」より。

「プレストン効果」--。米人口学者のサムエル・プレストンは80年代に貴重な視点を提供した。簡略化すればこうなる。「少子高齢化社会では政界や産業界の関心が多数派の高齢者に向かいやすい。割を食うのは少数派の若者だ」

今の日本で起こっていることをすでに言い当てている。そしてこれが今の日本特有かというとそうでもなくて、フランスやギリシャでも起こっている。

ギリシャの首都アテネ。昨年末に始まった若者の暴動が治まらない。15-24歳で25%、25-34歳で12%という高い失業率が背景にある。金融危機のさなかに中高年の雇用確保が優先され、首相のコスタス・カラマンリス(52)への怒りに火がついた。

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